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Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-31

Blue Dart Express Limited

BLUEDARTNSEIndustrials
₹5,160.3
+134.40 (+2.67%)
Sell

Financial trend (78/100) does the heavy lifting; valuation (13/100) is the drag.

Expensive
The bottom line

Our blended model reads Blue Dart Express Limited as a Sell at 41/100. At ₹5,160.3 it trades above our blended DCF and relative-multiples fair value of ₹4,045.66, about 22% downside to that estimate — we read it as overvalued by 22%. On 48.0x trailing earnings it sits pricier than the Industrials median of about 29.0x. The price is about 23% below its 52-week high of ₹6,694 and 11% above the low of ₹4,647.4. Financial health scores 100/100, in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 4/9. The average analyst target of ₹5,773.8 implies about 12% upside across 5 analysts. It clears 4 of 12 investability checks, with durability 47, valuation 12 and momentum 39 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹4,045.66down 21.60%
Overvalued by 22%
Price ₹5,160.3Range ₹2,580.15₹7,402.29
DCF + relative blendhigh confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹3,236.53.

Analyst views

5 analysts4 buy · 0 hold · 1 sell
12-month consensus target₹5,773.8up 11.89%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-31
1D
up 2.67%
1W
up 5.07%
1M
up 5.34%
3M
down 6.87%
6M
down 4.65%
1Y

52-week range

-22.91% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Above 50-DMA₹4,873Below 200-DMA₹5,345

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Sell41
A
Financial health 100/100
Altman Z 5.02 · Safe zone

Piotroski F-score 4/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability47
Valuation12
Momentum39

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 4 of 12 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • Fail: ROE above 15%: 14.8%
  • No data: Low debt (D/E < 0.5)
  • Pass: Positive free cash flow
  • Fail: Revenue growth > 10%: 8%
  • Pass: Earnings growing: 189%
  • Fail: Net margin ≥ 10%: 4.0%
  • Fail: Current ratio > 1.5: 1.04
  • Fail: Below our fair value
  • Fail: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Fail: Above 200-day average
  • Pass: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Pass: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 5.02
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 4/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 1Q2026
₹1,533 Cr
Net profit
₹43 Cr
Margin
3%
2Q2025
3Q2025
4Q2025
1Q2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ -5%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹6,141 Cr
Net profit
₹273 Cr
Margin
4%
2023
2024
2025
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +7%

Shareholding

  • Promoter76.3%
  • Institutions16.1%
  • Public & other7.6%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹11,861 Cr
P/E ratio
48.0
P/B ratio
6.67
EPS (TTM)
₹104.18
ROE
14.8%
Debt / Equity
Profit margin
4.0%
Free cash flow
₹387 Cr
52-week high
₹6,694
-22.91% from high
52-week low
₹4,647.4
Dividend yield
0.5%
Beta
0.27
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Financially solid — Altman Z 5.02.

Opportunities

  • Earnings growing (189% YoY).

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Price below its 200-day moving average (downtrend).

Threats

  • Rich valuation versus sector peers.
  • Trades ~22% above our estimated fair value.

About Blue Dart Express Limited

Blue Dart Express Limited operates courier and express delivery services throughout India via air and ground networks. The company offers day-definite and time-definite delivery under brands including Domestic Priority, Dart Apex, Dart Surfaceline, and Dart Plus, along with door-to-door ground distribution through Dart Surfaceline. It also provides air freight services connecting major airports in Kolkata, Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, and Ahmedabad.

Blue Dart Express Limited — frequently asked questions

Is Blue Dart Express Limited a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) a Sell, based on a blended score of 41/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is Blue Dart Express Limited's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates Blue Dart Express Limited's fair value at about ₹4,045.66, versus a current price of ₹5,160.3 — roughly 22% downside. On that basis the stock looks overvalued by 22%.

Is Blue Dart Express Limited financially healthy?

Blue Dart Express Limited scores 100/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 4/9.

How has Blue Dart Express Limited's share price performed?

Blue Dart Express Limited is down 7% over three months, and last traded at ₹5,160.3. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.