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Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-31

NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED

NTPCGREENNSEPower
₹90.03
-0.58 (-0.64%)
Strong Sell

Financial trend (47/100) does the heavy lifting; momentum (15/100) is the drag.

ExpensiveSolvency risk
The bottom line

NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED earns a Strong Sell from StocksWizard, with a blended score of 27/100. We put fair value near ₹53.79; at ₹90.03 that leaves roughly 40% downside, so the stock screens overvalued by 40%. On 155.4x trailing earnings it sits pricier than the Power median of about 80.8x. The price is about 24% below its 52-week high of ₹118.86 and 6% above the low of ₹85.18. Financial health scores 4/100, in the distress band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 4/9. The average analyst target of ₹104.71 implies about 16% upside across 7 analysts. It clears 2 of 13 investability checks, with durability 33, valuation 31 and momentum 15 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹53.79down 40.25%
Overvalued by 40%
Price ₹90.03Range ₹45.02₹96.92
DCF + relative blendhigh confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹43.03.

Analyst views

7 analysts4 buy · 0 hold · 3 sell
12-month consensus target₹104.71up 16.31%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-31
1D
down 0.64%
1W
down 6.53%
1M
down 6.68%
3M
down 17.57%
6M
down 2.49%
1Y

52-week range

-24.26% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Below 50-DMA₹96Below 200-DMA₹97

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Strong Sell27
F
Financial health 4/100
Altman Z 1.16 · Distress zone

Piotroski F-score 4/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability33
Valuation31
Momentum15

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 2 of 13 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • Fail: ROE above 15%: 2.8%
  • Fail: Low debt (D/E < 0.5): 1.65x
  • Fail: Positive free cash flow
  • Pass: Revenue growth > 10%: 47%
  • Fail: Earnings growing: -17%
  • Pass: Net margin ≥ 10%: 18.3%
  • Fail: Current ratio > 1.5: 0.24
  • Fail: Below our fair value
  • Fail: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Fail: Above 200-day average
  • Fail: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Fail: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 1.16
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 4/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 1Q2026
₹913 Cr
Net profit
₹197 Cr
Margin
22%
4Q2025
1Q2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ +40%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹2,858 Cr
Net profit
₹523 Cr
Margin
18%
2024
2025
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +29%

Shareholding

  • Promoter89.0%
  • Institutions6.4%
  • Public & other4.6%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹81,162 Cr
P/E ratio
155.4
P/B ratio
4.35
EPS (TTM)
₹0.62
ROE
2.8%
Debt / Equity
1.65x
Profit margin
18.3%
Free cash flow
₹-12,216 Cr
52-week high
₹118.86
-24.26% from high
52-week low
₹85.18
Dividend yield
Beta
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Healthy profit margin (18.3%).

Opportunities

  • Revenue growing (47% YoY).

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Low return on equity (2.8%).
  • High debt relative to equity.
  • Price below its 200-day moving average (downtrend).

Threats

  • Earnings contracting year on year.
  • Trades ~40% above our estimated fair value.
  • Balance-sheet stress — Altman Z 1.16.

About NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED

NTPC Green Energy Limited operates renewable energy generation facilities in India, with a portfolio encompassing 17,277 megawatts of solar and wind capacity. The company additionally provides consultancy, project management, and supervision services.

NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED — frequently asked questions

Is NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (NTPCGREEN) a Strong Sell, based on a blended score of 27/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED's fair value at about ₹53.79, versus a current price of ₹90.03 — roughly 40% downside. On that basis the stock looks overvalued by 40%.

Is NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED financially healthy?

NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED scores 4/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the distress band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 4/9.

How has NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED's share price performed?

NTPC GREEN ENERGY LIMITED is down 18% over three months, and last traded at ₹90.03. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.