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Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-31

Parag Milk Foods Limited

PARAGMILKNSEConsumer Defensive
₹214.31
+0.39 (+0.18%)
Hold

Valuation (75/100) does the heavy lifting; momentum (13/100) is the drag.

Buy zone
The bottom line

Our blended model reads Parag Milk Foods Limited as a Hold at 49/100. On 20.3x trailing earnings it sits cheaper than the Consumer Defensive median of about 26.1x. The price is about 42% below its 52-week high of ₹371.6 and 19% above the low of ₹179.86. Financial health scores 66/100, in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 5/9. The average analyst target of ₹275 implies about 28% upside across 2 analysts. It clears 7 of 13 investability checks, with durability 44, valuation 60 and momentum 13 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹265.09up 23.69%
Undervalued by 24%
Price ₹214.31Range ₹107.16₹385.72
DCF + relative blendhigh confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹212.07.

Analyst views

2 analysts2 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell
12-month consensus target₹275up 28.32%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-31
1D
up 0.18%
1W
up 0.05%
1M
down 8.39%
3M
down 3.32%
6M
down 14.31%
1Y

52-week range

-42.33% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Below 50-DMA₹227Below 200-DMA₹250

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Hold49
B
Financial health 66/100
Altman Z 3.63 · Safe zone

Piotroski F-score 5/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability44
Valuation60
Momentum13

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 7 of 13 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • Fail: ROE above 15%: 11.8%
  • Pass: Low debt (D/E < 0.5): 0.48x
  • Pass: Positive free cash flow
  • Fail: Revenue growth > 10%: 3%
  • Pass: Earnings growing: 20%
  • Fail: Net margin ≥ 10%: 3.5%
  • Pass: Current ratio > 1.5: 1.71
  • Pass: Below our fair value
  • Pass: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Fail: Above 200-day average
  • Fail: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Pass: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 3.63
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 5/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 1Q2026
₹945 Cr
Net profit
₹32 Cr
Margin
3%
2Q2024
3Q2024
4Q2024
1Q2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ +7%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹3,818 Cr
Net profit
₹135 Cr
Margin
4%
2023
2024
2025
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +11%

Shareholding

  • Promoter54.7%
  • Institutions5.5%
  • Public & other39.8%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹2,710 Cr
P/E ratio
20.3
P/B ratio
2.13
EPS (TTM)
₹10.56
ROE
11.8%
Debt / Equity
0.48x
Profit margin
3.5%
Free cash flow
₹131 Cr
52-week high
₹371.6
-42.33% from high
52-week low
₹179.86
Dividend yield
0.5%
Beta
0.50
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Financially solid — Altman Z 3.63.

Opportunities

  • Earnings growing (20% YoY).
  • Trading in our value buy zone versus sector peers.
  • Well off its 52-week high — possible mean-reversion.
  • Trades ~24% below our estimated fair value.

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Price below its 200-day moving average (downtrend).

About Parag Milk Foods Limited

Parag Milk Foods Limited manufactures and sells dairy products in India and internationally, including ghee, milk, paneer, curd, butter, milk powder, and dairy whitener. Its product range extends to cheese varieties, yogurt, cream, buttermilk, lassi, flavored milk, milk shakes, beverages, and UHT milk, along with prepared items such as sweets and gulab jamun mix.

Parag Milk Foods Limited — frequently asked questions

Is Parag Milk Foods Limited a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates Parag Milk Foods Limited (PARAGMILK) a Hold, based on a blended score of 49/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is Parag Milk Foods Limited's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates Parag Milk Foods Limited's fair value at about ₹265.09, versus a current price of ₹214.31 — roughly 24% upside. On that basis the stock looks undervalued by 24%.

Is Parag Milk Foods Limited financially healthy?

Parag Milk Foods Limited scores 66/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 5/9.

How has Parag Milk Foods Limited's share price performed?

Parag Milk Foods Limited is down 3% over three months, and last traded at ₹214.31. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.