Skip to content
Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-31

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited

RVNLNSEConstruction
₹225.48
+2.60 (+1.17%)
Strong Sell

Quality (35/100) does the heavy lifting; momentum (5/100) is the drag.

ExpensiveOvervalued
The bottom line

StocksWizard rates Rail Vikas Nigam Limited a Strong Sell, scoring 17/100 on our blended model. On 53.6x trailing earnings it sits pricier than the Construction median of about 27.8x. It's sitting close to its 52-week low of ₹221.34. Financial health scores 77/100, in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 3/9. The average analyst target of ₹184.5 implies about 18% downside across 2 analysts. It clears 3 of 13 investability checks, with durability 35, valuation 18 and momentum 5 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹126.58down 43.86%
Overvalued by 44%
Price ₹225.48Range ₹112.74₹145.12
Relative multipleslow confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹101.27. Low-confidence estimate — limited data.

Analyst views

2 analysts0 buy · 0 hold · 2 sell
12-month consensus target₹184.5down 18.17%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-31
1D
up 1.17%
1W
up 0.42%
1M
down 4.80%
3M
down 24.95%
6M
down 33.76%
1Y

52-week range

-41.70% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Below 50-DMA₹235Below 200-DMA₹291

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Strong Sell17
B
Financial health 77/100
Altman Z 4.09 · Safe zone

Piotroski F-score 3/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability35
Valuation18
Momentum5

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 3 of 13 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • Fail: ROE above 15%: 9.0%
  • Pass: Low debt (D/E < 0.5): 0.49x
  • Fail: Positive free cash flow
  • Fail: Revenue growth > 10%: 4%
  • Fail: Earnings growing: -59%
  • Fail: Net margin ≥ 10%: 4.3%
  • Pass: Current ratio > 1.5: 1.91
  • Fail: Below our fair value
  • Fail: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Fail: Above 200-day average
  • Fail: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Pass: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 4.09
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 3/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 1Q2026
₹6,696 Cr
Net profit
₹187 Cr
Margin
3%
4Q2024
3Q2025
4Q2025
1Q2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ +43%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹20,412 Cr
Net profit
₹875 Cr
Margin
4%
2023
2024
2025
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +2%

Shareholding

  • Promoter72.8%
  • Institutions8.9%
  • Public & other18.3%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹46,815 Cr
P/E ratio
53.6
P/B ratio
4.75
EPS (TTM)
₹4.19
ROE
9.0%
Debt / Equity
0.49x
Profit margin
4.3%
Free cash flow
₹-2,844 Cr
52-week high
₹386.74
-41.70% from high
52-week low
₹221.34
Dividend yield
1.2%
Beta
0.86
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Financially solid — Altman Z 4.09.

Opportunities

  • Well off its 52-week high — possible mean-reversion.

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Price below its 200-day moving average (downtrend).
  • Weak Piotroski score (3/9).

Threats

  • Earnings contracting year on year.
  • Rich valuation versus sector peers.
  • Trades ~44% above our estimated fair value.

About Rail Vikas Nigam Limited

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in rail infrastructure works in India and internationally. The company undertakes rail project development and implementation, as well as provides financial resources mobilization services. It also executes various railway projects, including new lines, doubling, gauge conversion, railway electrification, workshops, bridge work, mega and monumental bridges, metro and metropolitan transport projects, new lines,

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited — frequently asked questions

Is Rail Vikas Nigam Limited a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) a Strong Sell, based on a blended score of 17/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is Rail Vikas Nigam Limited's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates Rail Vikas Nigam Limited's fair value at about ₹126.58, versus a current price of ₹225.48 — roughly 44% downside. On that basis the stock looks overvalued by 44%.

Is Rail Vikas Nigam Limited financially healthy?

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited scores 77/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 3/9.

How has Rail Vikas Nigam Limited's share price performed?

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited is down 25% over three months, and last traded at ₹225.48. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.