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Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-29

HFCL Limited

HFCLNSETechnology
₹193.56
+5.17 (+2.74%)
Hold

Financial trend (100/100) does the heavy lifting; valuation (2/100) is the drag.

ExpensiveOvervalued
The bottom line

Our blended model reads HFCL Limited as a Hold at 45/100. At ₹193.56 it trades above our blended DCF and relative-multiples fair value of ₹96.78, about 50% downside to that estimate — we read it as overvalued by 50%. On 54.1x trailing earnings it sits pricier than the Technology median of about 20.0x. The price is about 14% below its 52-week high of ₹226.04 and 218% above the low of ₹60.95. Financial health scores 100/100, in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 2/9. The average analyst target of ₹150 implies about 23% downside across 1 analysts. It clears 4 of 10 investability checks, with durability 58, valuation 3 and momentum 74 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹96.78down 50.00%
Overvalued by 50%
Price ₹193.56Range ₹89.04₹105.26
DCF + relative blendmedium confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹77.42.

Analyst views

1 analysts1 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell
12-month consensus target₹150down 22.50%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-29
1D
up 2.74%
1W
down 11.17%
1M
down 9.06%
3M
up 66.82%
6M
up 217.57%
1Y

52-week range

-14.37% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Below 50-DMA₹197Above 200-DMA₹109

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Hold45
A
Financial health 100/100
Altman Z 5.98 · Safe zone

Piotroski F-score 2/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability58
Valuation3
Momentum74

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 4 of 10 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • No data: ROE above 15%
  • Pass: Low debt (D/E < 0.5): 0.38x
  • Fail: Positive free cash flow
  • Pass: Revenue growth > 10%: 120%
  • No data: Earnings growing
  • Fail: Net margin ≥ 10%: 9.6%
  • No data: Current ratio > 1.5
  • Fail: Below our fair value
  • Fail: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Pass: Above 200-day average
  • Fail: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Pass: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 5.98
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 2/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 4Q2018
₹1,221 Cr
Net profit
₹68 Cr
Margin
6%
3Q2018
4Q2018
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ +1%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹4,949 Cr
Net profit
₹312 Cr
Margin
6%
2019
2021
2022
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +5%

Shareholding

  • Promoter34.2%
  • Institutions17.8%
  • Public & other48.0%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹30,123 Cr
P/E ratio
54.1
P/B ratio
5.94
EPS (TTM)
₹3.64
ROE
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Profit margin
9.6%
Free cash flow
₹-723 Cr
52-week high
₹226.04
-14.37% from high
52-week low
₹60.95
Dividend yield
0.1%
Beta
0.82
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Lightly leveraged balance sheet.
  • Financially solid — Altman Z 5.98.

Opportunities

  • Revenue growing (120% YoY).

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Weak Piotroski score (2/9).

Threats

  • Rich valuation versus sector peers.
  • Trades ~50% above our estimated fair value.

About HFCL Limited

HFCL Limited manufactures optical fiber cables and telecommunications equipment for domestic and international markets. Its product range includes underground, aerial, and FTTH cables; unlicensed band backhaul radios, Wi-Fi access points, routers, managed switches, and 5G solutions. The company also produces defense products encompassing electronic fuzes, electro-optics, and high-capacity radio relay systems.

HFCL Limited — frequently asked questions

Is HFCL Limited a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates HFCL Limited (HFCL) a Hold, based on a blended score of 45/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is HFCL Limited's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates HFCL Limited's fair value at about ₹96.78, versus a current price of ₹193.56 — roughly 50% downside. On that basis the stock looks overvalued by 50%.

Is HFCL Limited financially healthy?

HFCL Limited scores 100/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the safe band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 2/9.

How has HFCL Limited's share price performed?

HFCL Limited is up 67% over three months, and last traded at ₹193.56. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.