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Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-29

NHPC Limited

NHPCNSEUtilities
₹77.9
-0.38 (-0.49%)
Sell

Financial trend (89/100) does the heavy lifting; momentum (29/100) is the drag.

Fair valueSolvency risk
The bottom line

StocksWizard rates NHPC Limited a Sell, scoring 40/100 on our blended model. At ₹77.9 it trades above our blended DCF and relative-multiples fair value of ₹68.3, about 12% downside to that estimate — we read it as overvalued by 12%. On 28.6x trailing earnings it sits pricier than the Utilities median of about 15.2x. The price is about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹87.04 and 8% above the low of ₹72.13. Financial health scores 0/100, in the distress band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 3/9. The average analyst target of ₹89.86 implies about 15% upside across 7 analysts. It clears 3 of 13 investability checks, with durability 56, valuation 57 and momentum 29 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹68.3down 12.32%
Overvalued by 12%
Price ₹77.9Range ₹38.95₹73.77
Relative multipleslow confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹54.64. Low-confidence estimate — limited data.

Analyst views

7 analysts4 buy · 1 hold · 2 sell
12-month consensus target₹89.86up 15.35%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-29
1D
down 0.49%
1W
down 2.96%
1M
down 4.22%
3M
down 6.37%
6M
up 5.55%
1Y

52-week range

-10.50% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Below 50-DMA₹78Below 200-DMA₹78

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Sell40
F
Financial health 0/100
Altman Z 0.94 · Distress zone

Piotroski F-score 3/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability56
Valuation57
Momentum29

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 3 of 13 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • Fail: ROE above 15%: 9.0%
  • Fail: Low debt (D/E < 0.5): 1.13x
  • Fail: Positive free cash flow
  • Pass: Revenue growth > 10%: 19%
  • Pass: Earnings growing: 71%
  • Pass: Net margin ≥ 10%: 32.4%
  • Fail: Current ratio > 1.5: 0.94
  • Fail: Below our fair value
  • Fail: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Fail: Above 200-day average
  • Fail: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Fail: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 0.94
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 3/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 1Q2026
₹2,816 Cr
Net profit
₹1,460 Cr
Margin
52%
2Q2025
3Q2025
4Q2025
1Q2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ +27%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹11,615 Cr
Net profit
₹3,766 Cr
Margin
32%
2023
2024
2025
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +12%

Shareholding

  • Promoter62.5%
  • Institutions16.1%
  • Public & other21.4%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹79,667 Cr
P/E ratio
28.6
P/B ratio
1.93
EPS (TTM)
₹2.77
ROE
9.0%
Debt / Equity
1.13x
Profit margin
32.4%
Free cash flow
₹-8,743 Cr
52-week high
₹87.04
-10.50% from high
52-week low
₹72.13
Dividend yield
2.5%
Beta
0.18
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Healthy profit margin (32.4%).

Opportunities

  • Earnings growing (71% YoY).
  • Revenue growing (19% YoY).

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Price below its 200-day moving average (downtrend).
  • Weak Piotroski score (3/9).

Threats

  • Balance-sheet stress — Altman Z 0.94.

About NHPC Limited

NHPC Limited generates and sells electricity through hydro, wind, and solar power stations in India and Nepal. The company operates these facilities and provides related services including design, engineering, construction, renovation, modernization, procurement, and project management.

NHPC Limited — frequently asked questions

Is NHPC Limited a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates NHPC Limited (NHPC) a Sell, based on a blended score of 40/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is NHPC Limited's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates NHPC Limited's fair value at about ₹68.3, versus a current price of ₹77.9 — roughly 12% downside. On that basis the stock looks overvalued by 12%.

Is NHPC Limited financially healthy?

NHPC Limited scores 0/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the distress band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 3/9.

How has NHPC Limited's share price performed?

NHPC Limited is down 6% over three months, and last traded at ₹77.9. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.