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Intrinsic value · Buy/Sell verdict · scores — free· 1049 Indian stocks· EOD 2026-07-29

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited

BPCLNSEEnergy
₹317.4
-2.65 (-0.83%)
Sell

Valuation (96/100) does the heavy lifting; momentum (51/100) is the drag.

Buy zoneSolvency risk
The bottom line

Our blended model reads Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited as a Sell at 40/100. We put fair value near ₹634.8; at ₹317.4 that leaves roughly 100% upside, so the stock screens undervalued by 100%. On 5.2x trailing earnings it sits cheaper than the Energy median of about 11.0x. The price is about 18% below its 52-week high of ₹388.3 and 17% above the low of ₹271.3. Financial health scores 34/100, in the grey band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 6/9. The average analyst target of ₹333.48 implies about 5% upside across 31 analysts. It clears 6 of 13 investability checks, with durability 56, valuation 92 and momentum 51 on our 0–100 scales.

Analysis by Ankit Sharma · StocksWizard's own estimates from end-of-day public data — see how we calculate them. For information only, not investment advice.

Intrinsic value
Our fair value
₹634.8up 100.00%
Undervalued by 100%
Price ₹317.4Range ₹371.38₹685.58
DCF + relative blendlow confidence

With a 20% margin of safety, our buy-below price is ₹507.84. Low-confidence estimate — limited data.

Analyst views

31 analysts16 buy · 6 hold · 9 sell
12-month consensus target₹333.48up 5.07%

1-year price

EOD · 2026-07-29
1D
down 0.83%
1W
up 1.08%
1M
up 4.56%
3M
up 5.64%
6M
down 8.69%
1Y

52-week range

-18.26% from the 52-week high.

Trend check
Above 50-DMA₹306Below 200-DMA₹329

Price above both moving averages reads as an intact uptrend; below both, the trend is against you.

Verdict pillars

Sell40
F
Financial health 34/100
Altman Z 2.37 · Grey zone

Piotroski F-score 6/9 — quality of earnings & balance sheet.

Our scores

Durability56
Valuation92
Momentum51

Durability rewards strong, low-debt, profitable businesses; Valuation rewards stocks cheap vs their sector; Momentum rewards strong price trends.

Investability checklist

Passed 6 of 13 checks
Each check screens one fundamentals, valuation or trend signal.
  • Pass: ROE above 15%: 28.5%
  • Fail: Low debt (D/E < 0.5): 0.54x
  • Pass: Positive free cash flow
  • Fail: Revenue growth > 10%: 7%
  • Pass: Earnings growing: 28%
  • Fail: Net margin ≥ 10%: 5.7%
  • Fail: Current ratio > 1.5: 0.79
  • Pass: Below our fair value
  • Pass: Margin of safety ≥ 20%
  • Fail: Above 200-day average
  • Pass: Above 50-day average
  • No data: Positive 1-year return
  • Fail: Altman Z in safe zone: Z 2.37
  • Fail: Piotroski ≥ 7: 6/9

Quarterly results

Revenue · 1Q2026
₹1.19 L Cr
Net profit
₹6,451 Cr
Margin
5%
2Q2025
3Q2025
4Q2025
1Q2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue QoQ -0%

Annual financials

Revenue · 2026
₹4.55 L Cr
Net profit
₹26,562 Cr
Margin
6%
2023
2024
2025
2026
Revenue Net profitLatest revenue YoY +3%

Shareholding

  • Promoter56.5%
  • Institutions28.9%
  • Public & other14.6%

Promoter holding via insider stake; institutional via reported holdings.

Key fundamentals

Market cap
₹1.35 L Cr
P/E ratio
5.2
P/B ratio
1.35
EPS (TTM)
₹60.48
ROE
28.5%
Debt / Equity
0.54x
Profit margin
5.7%
Free cash flow
₹25,403 Cr
52-week high
₹388.3
-18.26% from high
52-week low
₹271.3
Dividend yield
6.5%
Beta
0.90
SWOT snapshot

Bull case vs bear case

Bull case

Strengths

  • Strong return on equity (28.5%).

Opportunities

  • Earnings growing (28% YoY).
  • Trading in our value buy zone versus sector peers.
  • Trades ~100% below our estimated fair value.

Bear case

Weaknesses

  • Price below its 200-day moving average (downtrend).

About Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited refines crude oil and markets petroleum products in India and internationally through two segments: Downstream Petroleum, and Exploration and Production of Hydrocarbons. Its fuel stations distribute motor spirits, high-speed diesel, blended fuels, compressed and liquefied natural gas, automotive LPG, and lubricants, alongside convenience stores and restaurants.

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited — frequently asked questions

Is Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited a buy, hold or sell?

StocksWizard currently rates Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) a Sell, based on a blended score of 40/100 across valuation, quality, momentum and price trend. This is our own model-based view, not investment advice.

What is Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited's fair value?

Our blended DCF and relative-valuation model estimates Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited's fair value at about ₹634.8, versus a current price of ₹317.4 — roughly 100% upside. On that basis the stock looks undervalued by 100%.

Is Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited financially healthy?

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited scores 34/100 on our financial-health model, placing it in the grey band on the Altman Z-score, with a Piotroski F-score of 6/9.

How has Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited's share price performed?

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited is up 6% over three months, and last traded at ₹317.4. Past performance doesn't predict future returns.

Our verdict, fair value, financial-health and checklist are StocksWizard's own estimates, computed from public end-of-day data using standard models (DCF, relative valuation, Altman Z, Piotroski). For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Verify independently before investing.